Market Musing 10-04-2022, Is the Fed backed into a corner?

PUBLISHED Oct 16, 2022, 3:20:34 PM        SHARE

img

Tuesday 9:45am - DNOWS Meetup

  • What Trades do you have?

  • How is your education going?

  • Market/Industry/Bitcoin Technicals

  • Stock, ETF, Crypto Alpha Boost Case Studies

SPX will move

Seabrook Discussion 7pm Wednesday

New Age Traders Noon Thursday

1. High High Volatility: VIX > 328.

The Markets are bouncing off the hope that the Fed will slow down rate hikes. Fed Chair Powell is forecasting another 100 to 125 basis points higher rate before the end of 2022. Is this a dead cat bounce in a bearish market, where short term the markets were oversold? Please keep your hedges on through the Midterm elections. The new expected SPX range for this week: 3707 top and 3464 bottom.

SPX Chart

2. US Dollar and 10 Year Interest Rate:

The US Dollar dropped back to 111. 10Y Note Interest have dropped to 3.65. 30 year fixed rate mortgages are around 6.5%. The Global request from IMF and other Central Banks for the US to slow rate hikes is being priced into the Dollar and US Notes/Bonds. The Yield curve for the 2 year vs 10 year near 1981 levels. In the past, 2 negative GDP Quarters signaled a recession, but apparently this time is different?!?!? Long Term the US Dollar decline is still intact with Fiscal and Monetary stimulus flooding the world with US Dollars.

DXY Chart

3. Crypto Currency:

Bitcoin at $19,210 is still range bound. The $24,000 to $18,525 range has lasted 17 weeks. Corporations, Countries, and Institutional investors are accumulating large Bitcoin positions. Fidelity($3.5T AUM), Charles Scwab ($5.0T AUM) and Citadel are partnering to create a Crypto brokerage for their clients following Black Rocks ($11T AUM) lead. Please continue to Dollar Cost Average into Bitcoin and Ethereum. Crypto winter will last for another 6 months, as we wait for the next Bitcoin Halvening in 18 months.

https://support.tastyworks.com/support/solutions/articles/43000612831-available-cryptocurrencies

BTC Chart

4. Tasty Works Algo Trading System: James at Quiet Foundation

Alpha Boost ideas, sign up https://info.quietfoundation.com/alphaboost

https://issuu.com/luckbox/docs/2111-luckbox-site/56 Alph Boost Article

If you are new to options or this blog sounds like gibberish, please tryout Tasty Trade’s New 2020 Education. Includes 40 Videos, Testing and you get a certificate of completion at the end of the course.

https://tastytrade.thinkific.com/courses/beginner-options-course

5. TRADE Log: VIX > 28

  • 1.) Jade Lizards -

  • 2.) Put Broken Wing Butterflies -

  • 3.) Put and Call Credit Spreads -

  • 4.) Put Calendars -

  • 6.) Upside Ghetto Spreads -

  • 7.) Downside Ghetto Spreads -

  • 8.) Collars -

  • 9.) Weekly Butterflies - SPX

  • 10.) Covered Calls -

Trade Mechanics

6. Video and Articles

Theotrade - Can Markets Back the Fed into a Corner???

https://youtu.be/h-JOpI9dcDA

https://traderschoice.net/about-traders-choice/



Sound investments
don't happen alone

Find your crew, build teams, compete in VS MODE, and identify investment trends in our evergrowing investment ecosystem. You aren't on an island anymore, and our community is here to help you make informed decisions in a complex world.

More Reads
The Best Water Utilities that Pay Dividends
Image

Water Utility stocks are great sources of dividends and can add more stability to an income portfolio

Intel (INTC) Stock – Too Cheap to Ignore?! | Dividend Investing
Image

Intel (INTC) stock is down 45% this year. The dividend yield has SWELLED up to 5%. As a dividend investor, looking for iconic dividend stocks, Intel stock may have too low of a stock price to ignore.

Dividend Kings In Focus: Lowe’s Companies
Image

Lowe’s traces its roots back to 1921, when LS Lowe founded a hardware store in North Wilkesboro, North Carolina.

Invest in Water Stocks
Image

Water stocks are a unique class of utility equities. Water and wastewater treatment and service is often a municipal function.

The 6 Best Infrastructure ETFs to Buy Now
Image

Infrastructure is necessary to make the world go round in our day and age. Both developed and emerging markets make use of energy and transportation to connect their people.

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE): Undervalued REIT
Image

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE): Undervalued REIT. The overall Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) sector has been down a lot year to date. For example, the office REIT category has been down 21.9% since the start of 2022. In addition, the REIT Industrial category is down 18% year to date. This decline provides long-term investors with some opportunities in the Real Estate sector.

Up in smoke
Image

Who's ready to get baked

Why Don’t Investors Just Invest in the S&P 500?
Image

The S&P 500 has a long streak of positive returns. So why doesn’t everyone just invest in the S&P 500?

GME Stock Forecast | Price | Quote | News
Image

GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME), is involved in the business of consumer electronics, video games, and gaming merchandise retailers.

Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holding Inc. | Sonn Stock Analysis
Image

A company called Sonnet Biotherapeutics has been developing a drug that treats inflammatory bowel disease known as Crohn's.

NRG Energy Stock Forecast
Image

NRG stock forecast regarding Return on Equity (ROE) is very bright and optimistic due to its solid income statement, robust balance sheet and rosy ESG outlook. But this stock has its own risks as well.

Recent Stock Purchase September 2022
Image

As you know by now I make a stock purchase every single month no matter what is going on in the world and despite the doom and gloom headlines. Perhaps I am naive or more of an optimist that we will get through these dark financial times somehow.

Will Nike Stock Recover?
Image

Nike is an American multinational corporation that design, develops, manufactures and markets footwear, apparel, equipment and services worldwide.

5 Income Stocks for Retirees
Image

When most people reach the age of 50, they start thinking about retirement. At this age, you need a strategy in place about housing, working, and income before retiring.

Mondelez International: Buy The Snack Giant
Image

Slow and steady wins the race. It holds true for investing in equities because of reversion to the mean. For instance, the latest group of new tech stocks were trading at bubble valuations and plummeted when the Federal Reserve started tightening.

Monthly Dividend Stock In Focus: Pembina Pipeline
Image

Midstream energy companies are widely-known to be a source of high dividend yields. Midstream operators benefit from favorable economics because of the continued need for oil. In addition, midstream companies are less exposed to commodity price risk than their upstream peers in the exploration and production industry.

Will it break through
Image

At&t feels good to me this week

10 Solid Picks For A Rocky Market - Zen Investor
Image

I searched for companies that are inexpensive relative to their fair value (margin of safety) and have above-average price and earnings growth prospects.

September 2022 Stock Considerations
Image

With the start of a new trading month, it is time, once again, for me to highlight some of my potential stock buys for September. With all the recent market volatility there is no shortage of stocks that are looking seemingly cheaper when compared to the closing months of 2021.

Monthly Dividend Stock In Focus: Prospect Capital
Image

Business Development Companies — or BDCs, for short — allow investors to generate income with the potential for robust total returns while minimizing the amount of tax that is paid at the corporate level.

Resources for Publishers
Resources for New Investors
Boosted with BossCoin
Financial Literacy Leaders
user_profile
Tom Hamilton
user_profile
Wise Intelligent
user_profile
Mark Robertson
user_profile
Kevin Matthews II
user_profile
Akeiva Ellis
user_profile
Brendan Dale
user_profile
Kenneth Chavis IV
user_profile
Sharita Humphrey